Modern War Strategy and Economic Independence: An Analysis of the US–Israel vs. Iran Conflict from the Perspective of Global Economic Disruption

Joseph Robert Giri; Kup Yanto Setiono

doi:10.55927/fjst.v5i7.116

Authors

Joseph Robert Giri Poltekad
Kup Yanto Setiono Poltekad

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55927/fjst.v5i7.116

Keywords:

Modern War Strategy, Energy Geopolitics, Deterrence, Global Interdependence, Global Economy.

Abstract

This study analyzes modern warfare strategies used in the US–Israel versus Iran conflict and their implications for global economic stability. The main problem is the lack of an analytical model that integrates the military, energy geopolitics, and global economic dimensions in a single analytical model. The research gap so far shows the dominance of partial and linear approaches. This study, however, utilizes Clausewitz's theory, structural realism, deterrence, and complex interdependence with a system dynamics approach. Previous studies tended to be sectoral, while this study is integrative. A qualitative explanatory methodology with causal loop diagrams was used, based on data from OPEC, the IMF, and the IEA, and expert interviews. The results demonstrate a non-linear relationship through feedback mechanisms between conflict, supply chain disruptions, and global inflation. The analysis confirms that deterrence serves as a systemic balancing element. This study concludes that modern warfare functions as a global economic and political instrument. The novelty of this study lies in its non-linear integrative model. This research contributes theoretically and practically, with implications for energy independence policies and national defense strategies to address an increasingly complex spectrum of threats

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